points by intenex 1 day ago | 0 comments
PSA: This is a very dated take from September; Ramez says himself that the new data has his attention and he’s digging into it now: https://x.com/ramez/status/2118472046812213577?a=KjLVobKV0gb...
In the original article he noted that getting to a 2x increase in capabilities would be crazy and require ~40x researcher productivity; that’s exactly the increase the new data now shows, and thus a huge number of the assumptions made in this earlier post about how it’s unlikely we would get to this point have literally already been proven wrong less than two months later.
I expect to see an update from Ramez moving substantially more in the direction of RSI in fact very much increasing the odds of reaching ASI soon.
[–] cloudbonsai 1 day ago
[–] ZetaReverie 1 day ago
Why would one expect humans to get more intelligent as they offload their thinking to something else?
Given that frontier models are leapfrogging and massive infrastructure buildouts are ongoing, I don’t see why any of these three couldn’t be overcome.
Side note: I’m also curious why people (myself included) don’t seem to be getting much more intelligent as AI becomes widely available. As if humans are bound to the earth, while AI is leaping for Mars.