points by binbag 1 day ago | 0 comments
> In theory, these doubling times would add up to infinite capabilities within one year.
> we would reach extreme superintelligence within a year
What does infinite capabilities mean? How about putting the growth on a log scale and see how that curve might look?
What the hell is extreme superintelligence?
Since the sequence 6+3+1.5+0.75+... never actually reaches 12 (geometric series), within a year they capabilities would have already been 'doubled' infinitely many times.
Obviously this argument relies on a ton of spherical cow assumptions (and the author does acknowledge this), but i think there overall point is correct that this form of growth (where time horizons compress) is _even faster_ than exponential growth.