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points by kadoban 2 days ago | 0 comments
> Open weight US based Opus 5.5 within 12 months.

Seems unlikely. Maybe open weight at all near there? That'd be great.

[–] wolttam 2 days ago
People say this about the frontier every time, and the open models catch up in a matter of months every time.
[–] kadoban 2 days ago
The open models catch up, the _US_ open models catch up much more slowly. Different incentives and cultures.
[–] p-e-w 2 days ago
Why does that seem unlikely? The difference between frontier and open weights has been much less than 12 months for a while now.
[–] satvikpendem 2 days ago
US open weights are much worse, way more than 12 months apart compared to frontier.
[–] kadoban 2 days ago
> Why does that seem unlikely? The difference between frontier and open weights has been much less than 12 months for a while now.

Frontier and open weights? Yes.

Frontier and _US_ open weights? No.

I'd expect a US open weights provider to suddenly get bought or go non-open if they get near Opus 5.5 anyway.