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points by esalman 4 days ago | 0 comments
Betting on whether Godzilla Minus Zero will have 90 or higher rotten tomato score [1] is surely not finance.

[1] https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrt/rotten-tomatoes-scores/kxrt-...

[–] cowlevel 4 days ago
You'd think so but they try to position themselves as a way for movie executives to hedge their bonuses.
[–] dzhiurgis 4 days ago
How is that gambling? To me it implies some sort of game. Whereas movie + and it's rating is a predictable outcome.
[–] JumpCrisscross 4 days ago
> How is that gambling?

I think gambling is defined by the players' behaviour more than the game's structure. There are professional poker players who I would argue do not gamble. They're playing risks as much as an insurance adjuster.

On the other hand, someone investing their life savings into McDonald's meals in an attempt to win a sweepstakes isn't buying burgers.

So the question really is, how many Kalshi and Polymarket users display signs of problem gambling? From what I'm seeing, it isn't negligible [1].

[1] https://newsroom.ucla.edu/in-the-news/la-therapists-are-seei...

[–] riffraff 4 days ago
"novelty betting" has been around for a very long time.

Gambling has to do with putting money in a proposition, not with sports. "I bet you I can drink two points before you" is not a financial statement.

[–] xhkkffbf 4 days ago
Gambling, at least in casinos, means betting on very random and unpredictable things like the roll of a die. That's the distinction between games of chance and games of skill.

In reality, every thing we do in life is a gamble. Even investing in US Treasury Bonds. (And if you don't think so, look at the national debt again.)

[–] pixl97 4 days ago
Hence regulated/unregulated gambling is what it breaks down into.
[–] echoangle 4 days ago
Is sports betting gambling to you?
[–] esalman 4 days ago
What is gambling?